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Red110
86250.7
35965.6
21728.4
Blue177
12547.3
19563.0
481421.0
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions164108050150200250300110177

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
359
#7
65.62.3
71.269.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.6
195
#9
63.03.0
57.560.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
862
#30
50.72.3
53.351.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.4
125
#47
47.33.0
44.647.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
217
#68
28.42.3
30.928.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.4
4814
#69
21.03.0
15.018.0
Auto
Teleop
End