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Red185
306522.3
338812.4
466120.3
Blue30
474416.6
194220.7
478410.2
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions273005010015018530

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3065
#16
22.313.2
10.323.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.6
1942
#36
20.70.0
13.913.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4661
#11
20.313.2
9.422.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.8
4744
#31
16.60.0
7.47.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3388
#44
12.413.2
7.520.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.1
4784
#45
10.20.0
8.58.6
Auto
Teleop
End