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Red30
466120.3
307519.7
433815.0
Blue43
193713.7
47946.3
221213.4
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29310204060801003043

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4661
#11
20.310.7
20.39.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.6
1937
#20
13.71.0
11.512.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3075
#19
19.70.1
9.29.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.2
2212
#15
13.41.0
9.610.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4338
#30
15.00.1
10.010.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.7
4794
#33
6.34.2
6.310.5
Auto
Teleop
End