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Red58
432027.3
193713.7
43199.2
Blue22
333920.0
157713.1
221213.4
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3940102030506070805822

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.31.5
21.222.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.3
3339
#22
20.01.4
16.214.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1937
#20
13.71.5
11.012.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
2212
#15
13.41.4
8.57.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4319
#17
9.21.5
7.99.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.0
1577
#34
13.11.4
14.613.2
Auto
Teleop
End