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Red40
157610.6
306522.3
26794.2
Blue24
30832.9
47579.0
19467.3
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions532201001502004024

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3065
#16
22.30.7
26.525.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.3
4757
#39
9.00.2
10.710.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1576
#27
10.60.7
13.112.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.3
1946
#42
7.30.2
8.17.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2679
#24
4.20.7
8.47.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.3
3083
#48
2.90.2
7.77.5
Auto
Teleop
End