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Red40
193713.7
479016.0
338812.4
Blue108
157430.3
195231.3
157324.5
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions417005010015040108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4790
#26
16.00.5
16.816.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 15.3
31.33.5
21.525.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1937
#20
13.70.5
12.011.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 16.5
30.33.5
25.929.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3388
#44
12.40.5
17.116.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.1
24.53.5
18.221.7
Auto
Teleop
End