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Red78
30879.4
169021.3
474416.6
Blue22
479016.0
43199.2
19434.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions372902060801007822

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1690
#25
21.33.3
15.118.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.3
4790
#26
16.00.6
16.315.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4744
#31
16.63.3
13.917.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.4
4319
#17
9.20.6
9.38.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3087
#29
9.43.3
6.810.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.1
1943
#35
4.30.6
4.53.9
Auto
Teleop
End