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Red20
306522.3
38358.5
433815.0
Blue34
157713.1
22304.6
321115.0
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5824040801001201402034

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3065
#16
22.32.5
23.020.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.3
3211
#10
15.00.3
12.412.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4338
#30
15.02.5
17.114.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.9
1577
#34
13.10.3
12.312.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3835
#21
8.52.5
12.19.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.9
2230
#41
4.60.3
4.85.2
Auto
Teleop
End