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Red102
158012.9
333920.0
157324.5
Blue62
194220.7
46497.2
306522.3
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions474802040608010010262

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.53.9
21.525.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.2
3065
#16
22.31.1
20.521.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3339
#22
20.03.9
17.121.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.7
1942
#36
20.71.1
20.621.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1580
#14
12.93.9
8.912.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.7
4649
#32
7.21.1
6.17.2
Auto
Teleop
End