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Red50
183620.8
433815.0
43199.2
Blue10
470813.7
338812.4
478410.2
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions444301001502005010

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1836
#12
20.80.5
20.420.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.2
4708
#13
13.72.4
16.314.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4338
#30
15.00.5
14.615.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.7
3388
#44
12.42.4
13.911.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4319
#17
9.20.5
8.79.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.1
4784
#45
10.22.4
12.610.2
Auto
Teleop
End