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Red36
435313.7
361621.5
207811.8
Blue71
399119.6
191221.4
303922.3
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions475601001503671

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3616
#26
21.51.0
19.718.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
3039
#30
22.31.4
22.523.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4353
#41
13.71.0
18.717.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.7
1912
#31
21.41.4
18.820.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2078
#39
11.81.0
9.88.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.7
3991
#19
19.61.4
13.114.5
Auto
Teleop
End