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Red44
411313.1
37827.5
393722.6
Blue90
192727.1
208017.7
316417.6
57%Model gave it43%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions433702060801004490

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3937
#15
22.60.2
20.520.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.5
1927
#14
27.14.3
18.823.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4113
#25
13.10.2
15.515.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.6
2080
#12
17.74.3
8.312.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3782
#45
7.50.2
5.96.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.1
3164
#28
17.62.6
11.313.9
Auto
Teleop
End