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Red6
40878.4
40531.6
435313.7
Blue10
42095.0
48326.0
43368.8
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3526020406080100610

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4353
#41
13.72.3
17.715.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.9
4336
#21
8.81.5
13.812.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4087
#32
8.42.3
9.77.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.4
4832
#29
6.01.5
6.44.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4053
#53
1.62.3
6.03.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.5
4209
#50
5.01.5
7.35.8
Auto
Teleop
End