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Red70
393722.6
47708.2
346813.1
Blue12
218312.1
435313.7
20915.5
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions423502060801001207012

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3937
#15
22.62.4
20.723.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.9
4353
#41
13.72.0
15.413.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3468
#22
13.12.4
10.412.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.0
2183
#36
12.12.0
12.010.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4770
#38
8.22.4
9.512.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.8
2091
#40
5.52.0
8.46.4
Auto
Teleop
End