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Red31
164924.5
303922.3
48059.8
Blue62
393722.6
142143.4
42095.0
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions567102040801001201403162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1649
#23
24.51.4
24.823.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 19.0
1421
#16
43.40.5
39.338.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3039
#30
22.32.0
22.120.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
3937
#15
22.60.5
24.223.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4805
#13
9.82.0
11.59.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.8
4209
#50
5.00.5
5.24.7
Auto
Teleop
End