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Red38
22626.9
234922.1
271311.5
Blue4
44746.7
41514.7
176819.8
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36370206080384

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2349
#35
22.10.2
12.813.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.3
1768
#16
19.82.8
15.712.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2713
#31
11.50.2
12.212.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.9
4474
#42
6.72.8
10.57.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2262
#43
6.90.2
10.911.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.2
4151
#44
4.72.8
10.98.2
Auto
Teleop
End