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Red6
135022.8
252312.0
9720.1
Blue11
147422.5
20795.1
323614.6
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38340206080100120140611

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1350
#11
22.82.6
15.412.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
1474
#38
22.51.9
12.810.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
97
#26
20.12.6
11.48.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.5
3236
#17
14.61.9
13.111.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2523
#36
12.02.6
10.98.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.9
2079
#25
5.11.9
8.56.6
Auto
Teleop
End