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Qual 272013 Boston Regional
Red23
323614.6
287717.4
476117.4
Blue6
47964.8
10991.0
44746.7
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41260206080100236

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2877
#23
17.40.8
14.7→14.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 10.8
4474
#42
6.71.9
10.6→8.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
4761
#12
17.41.3
12.1→10.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 12.6
4796
#46
4.81.9
4.7→2.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
3236
#17
14.61.3
11.7→10.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 13.6
1099
#50
1.01.9
13.2→11.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—