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Red54
287617.7
431112.3
271311.5
Blue8
404814.4
17211.7
17544.8
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3434010204050607080548

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2876
#20
17.71.7
14.015.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.3
4048
#39
14.42.2
15.513.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4311
#29
12.31.7
6.48.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.5
1754
#48
4.82.2
11.29.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2713
#31
11.51.7
13.114.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.8
1721
#47
1.72.2
7.55.3
Auto
Teleop
End