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Red76
34797.4
5014.9
12649.8
Blue36
196519.1
287617.7
47964.8
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51300204060801007636

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
126
#4
49.81.4
31.332.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 30.7
1965
#21
19.10.2
14.514.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3479
#18
7.42.3
9.111.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.3
2876
#20
17.70.2
15.716.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
501
#30
4.92.3
7.59.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
4796
#46
4.80.2
2.83.1
Auto
Teleop
End