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Red31
17211.7
147422.5
208418.7
Blue43
5014.9
196519.1
39277.6
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5638020801001201403143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1474
#38
22.51.7
23.121.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.3
1965
#21
19.10.2
17.918.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2084
#28
18.71.7
22.320.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.1
3927
#27
7.60.2
12.712.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1721
#47
1.71.8
7.55.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.2
501
#30
4.90.2
9.810.1
Auto
Teleop
End