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Red36
5296.2
176118.4
287617.7
Blue49
22626.9
242321.9
135022.8
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions394502060801003649

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1761
#24
18.40.3
20.420.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.4
1350
#11
22.80.4
20.120.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2876
#20
17.70.3
14.814.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.2
2423
#32
21.90.4
17.317.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
529
#45
6.20.3
4.54.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.7
2262
#43
6.90.4
6.56.9
Auto
Teleop
End