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Red75
24621.6
242321.9
287617.7
Blue52
147422.5
234922.1
44746.7
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51450204060801007552

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2423
#32
21.91.8
17.719.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
1474
#38
22.50.5
21.421.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
246
#15
21.61.8
17.619.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
2349
#35
22.10.5
17.718.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2876
#20
17.71.8
14.516.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.0
4474
#42
6.70.5
6.67.1
Auto
Teleop
End