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Red11
175712.9
252312.0
41514.7
Blue69
287617.7
417620.3
287717.4
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions305602040801001201401169

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1757
#33
12.91.6
14.512.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.4
4176
#19
20.31.2
19.120.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2523
#36
12.01.6
13.612.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.6
2876
#20
17.71.1
16.317.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4151
#44
4.71.6
6.24.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.8
2877
#23
17.40.8
16.617.4
Auto
Teleop
End