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Red123
46970.5
124334.4
233729.3
Blue69
102337.5
171854.9
28019.9
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13910405020025012369

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
469
Unranked
70.50.5
79.579.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 15.6
1718
Unranked
54.92.0
54.952.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1243
Unranked
34.40.5
23.122.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.0
1023
Unranked
37.52.0
30.628.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2337
Unranked
29.30.5
31.030.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.3
280
Unranked
19.92.0
23.821.8
Auto
Teleop
End