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Red49
91023.4
102337.5
317513.0
Blue59
30819.0
125021.9
30217.0
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions726302040801001204959

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1023
Unranked
37.51.1
27.426.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 15.6
1250
Unranked
21.90.3
23.723.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
910
Unranked
23.41.1
30.229.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.4
308
Unranked
19.00.3
24.123.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3175
Unranked
13.01.1
12.811.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.1
302
Unranked
17.00.3
16.516.2
Auto
Teleop
End