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Red80
364144.6
54819.5
124334.4
Blue74
354711.4
81521.3
3355.8
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions101984060801201408074

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3641
Unranked
44.60.9
47.646.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.2
33
Unranked
55.81.3
65.764.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1243
Unranked
34.40.9
25.324.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.1
815
Unranked
21.31.3
19.317.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
548
Unranked
19.50.9
24.723.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.1
3547
Unranked
11.41.3
15.714.4
Auto
Teleop
End