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Red194
364144.6
171854.9
46970.5
Blue206
283214.3
3355.8
124334.4
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18475050100150200250300194206

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
469
Unranked
70.51.4
74.976.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.7
33
Unranked
55.85.7
61.166.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1718
Unranked
54.91.4
48.750.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 20.5
1243
Unranked
34.45.7
27.132.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3641
Unranked
44.61.4
43.444.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 30.3
2832
Unranked
14.35.7
4.19.8
Auto
Teleop
End