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Red180
81521.3
10735.9
102337.5
Blue85
5127.5
24557.2
19135.5
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58136010015020025030018085

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1023
Unranked
37.55.5
25.430.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 19.7
245
Unranked
57.21.9
55.553.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
107
Unranked
35.95.5
28.634.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
191
Unranked
35.51.9
35.333.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
815
Unranked
21.35.5
16.121.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.1
51
Unranked
27.51.9
32.630.7
Auto
Teleop
End