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Red125
21732.1
3355.8
364144.6
Blue194
171854.9
173243.8
102337.5
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions139119050100200250300125194

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
Unranked
55.80.2
56.956.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
1718
Unranked
54.91.2
50.451.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3641
Unranked
44.60.2
45.745.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
1732
Unranked
43.81.2
39.240.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
217
Unranked
32.10.2
33.233.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.4
1023
Unranked
37.51.2
32.934.1
Auto
Teleop
End