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Red100
2041.9
31829.2
279130.1
Blue87
216819.2
304421.2
328019.7
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8851010015010087

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20
#2
41.90.3
42.342.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 20.7
3044
#30
21.20.5
20.120.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
30.10.3
30.530.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.4
3280
#12
19.70.5
18.519.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3182
#37
9.20.3
9.69.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.0
2168
#10
19.20.5
18.018.5
Auto
Teleop
End