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Red10
216819.2
168712.1
39585.6
Blue23
237011.3
12628.8
19013.9
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49480204060801023

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2168
#10
19.23.1
19.016.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.6
126
#8
28.82.2
19.817.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1687
#21
12.13.1
11.68.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.8
190
#29
13.92.2
17.815.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3958
#26
5.63.1
16.313.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.7
2370
#24
11.32.2
12.29.9
Auto
Teleop
End