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Red40
26214.3
237011.3
304421.2
Blue61
15518.1
17316.7
12122.7
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions254804060801004061

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3044
#30
21.21.0
14.815.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.5
121
#7
22.71.4
19.220.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2370
#24
11.31.0
7.38.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.8
155
#13
18.11.4
12.313.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2621
#36
4.31.0
5.86.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.5
173
#20
16.71.4
13.014.4
Auto
Teleop
End