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Red10
12122.7
216819.2
1289-0.5
Blue8
31829.2
8399.4
57112.9
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45370206080100108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
121
#7
22.72.3
25.022.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.8
571
#33
12.92.0
16.214.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2168
#10
19.22.3
16.213.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.8
839
#27
9.42.0
10.28.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1289
#39
-0.52.3
2.80.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.6
3182
#37
9.22.0
11.69.6
Auto
Teleop
End