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Red54
21046.4
304421.2
264829.3
Blue61
8399.4
328019.7
19013.9
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions573202040801005461

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.30.0
28.328.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.6
3280
#12
19.71.4
15.817.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3044
#30
21.20.0
18.618.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.3
190
#29
13.91.5
12.413.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2104
#35
6.40.0
6.46.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.0
839
#27
9.41.4
8.09.4
Auto
Teleop
End