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Red13
37937.5
76816.4
108614.8
Blue66
237732.5
291212.6
284915.6
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4242102030506070801366

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
768
#61
16.42.3
12.510.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 16.1
32.51.4
25.426.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1086
#18
14.81.4
14.613.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
2849
#30
15.61.3
8.59.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3793
#50
7.52.3
13.711.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.1
2912
#60
12.61.3
9.010.3
Auto
Teleop
End