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Red80
264014.3
111114.7
345529.1
Blue89
219927.3
463815.2
188525.9
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39630501001502008089

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3455
#21
29.13.1
18.221.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.8
2199
#11
27.31.5
25.927.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1111
#34
14.71.8
12.914.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.3
25.91.7
21.823.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2640
#46
14.32.0
12.014.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.9
4638
#36
15.22.5
11.313.8
Auto
Teleop
End