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Red50
138919.7
44923.4
25468.9
Blue104
12846.1
412218.3
284915.6
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5065010015020025050104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
449
#7
23.40.1
23.423.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 22.7
128
#15
46.12.1
41.843.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1389
#54
19.70.1
18.618.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.4
4122
#28
18.32.1
11.213.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2546
#33
8.90.2
10.510.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.7
2849
#30
15.62.1
9.811.8
Auto
Teleop
End