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Red113
8722.7
170836.9
253423.7
Blue61
337315.9
406718.0
446420.1
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7850010015011361

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1708
#26
36.92.0
30.532.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.8
4464
#49
20.10.4
20.821.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2534
#41
23.72.2
23.325.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.7
4067
#43
18.00.4
15.015.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
87
#32
22.72.0
19.621.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.9
3373
#57
15.90.4
18.218.5
Auto
Teleop
End