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Red40
219927.3
189529.0
37937.5
Blue13
217215.3
371410.9
286624.7
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions684601001504013

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1895
#12
29.01.4
25.824.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.3
2866
#10
24.73.0
23.420.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2199
#11
27.31.2
27.426.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.0
2172
#58
15.31.8
13.311.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3793
#50
7.52.0
11.49.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.4
3714
#39
10.93.0
12.69.6
Auto
Teleop
End