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Red122
346749.6
264849.8
238621.8
Blue107
17637.7
6321.4
12554.2
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12311250100150200250122107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.80.0
49.849.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.4
125
#20
54.20.1
54.354.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
49.60.0
49.649.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.0
176
#3
37.70.1
37.837.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2386
#17
21.80.0
21.821.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
63
#33
21.40.1
21.621.4
Auto
Teleop
End