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Red40
107327.5
34823.7
238621.8
Blue64
359712.9
107123.2
183117.6
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions413902060804064

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1073
#13
27.50.1
14.414.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.4
1071
#15
23.21.5
16.618.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
348
#25
23.70.1
17.117.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.1
1831
#18
17.61.4
11.212.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2386
#17
21.80.0
9.59.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.0
3597
#29
12.92.0
11.613.6
Auto
Teleop
End