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Red44
71631.8
238621.8
393020.9
Blue39
404118.4
192224.4
356617.5
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions514502060801004439

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
716
#22Sur
31.80.5
21.721.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.3
1922
#36
24.40.3
22.522.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2386
#17
21.80.3
9.49.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.4
4041
#32Sur
18.40.5
13.112.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3930
#10
20.90.3
19.118.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.4
3566
#27
17.50.3
10.09.6
Auto
Teleop
End