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Red105
71631.8
12554.2
356617.5
Blue110
13334.9
47938.6
346749.6
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions103590150200105110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
125
#20
54.20.4
54.454.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.6
49.62.2
29.331.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
716
#22
31.80.7
29.430.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.1
133
#6
34.92.2
27.129.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3566
#27
17.50.4
12.412.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.9
4793
#38
8.63.7
9.613.3
Auto
Teleop
End