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Red117
18122.5
360926.1
107327.5
Blue107
105818.6
456431.0
17637.7
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65630100200300400117107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1073
#13
27.52.6
14.016.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.1
176
#3
37.72.2
29.631.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3609
#11
26.12.6
29.732.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.8
4564
#14
31.03.6
20.724.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
181
#21
22.52.6
21.424.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.9
1058
#30
18.62.2
13.215.4
Auto
Teleop
End