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Red109
456431.0
12554.2
6321.4
Blue125
447328.1
455520.0
346749.6
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10168050150109125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
125
#20
54.20.7
51.652.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.6
49.62.6
35.438.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4564
#14
31.01.0
29.330.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.9
28.14.4
22.426.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
63
#33
21.40.7
14.515.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.4
4555
#35
20.03.8
14.918.7
Auto
Teleop
End