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Red121
71631.8
107327.5
13334.9
Blue57
15729.8
454611.8
192224.4
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9059010015020012157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
133
#6
34.91.8
33.635.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.1
157
#16
29.80.4
26.826.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
716
#22
31.82.4
31.233.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.3
1922
#36
24.40.4
24.724.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1073
#13
27.51.8
20.121.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 15.8
4546
#34
11.80.4
12.612.2
Auto
Teleop
End