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Red129
317515.7
170129.9
46977.6
Blue77
429435.1
354719.0
48119.2
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13044010015020025012977

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
469
#1
77.60.6
72.172.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 42.5
35.11.0
30.131.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1701
#11
29.90.6
33.033.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.9
19.01.0
18.019.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3175
#25
15.70.6
11.712.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.4
4811
#27
9.21.0
9.610.6
Auto
Teleop
End