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Red109
438130.5
102329.4
22628.5
Blue132
477619.4
50326.7
8542.9
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions79784060100120109132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4381
#24
30.51.5
28.830.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.4
85
#15
42.92.7
37.940.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1023
#13
29.41.5
29.330.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.7
503
#14
26.72.7
26.629.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
226
#16
28.51.5
20.722.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.1
4776
#21
19.42.7
13.416.1
Auto
Teleop
End