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Red157
32638.2
91019.7
46977.6
Blue151
330227.9
3368.4
335721.5
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12310950150200157151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
469
#1
77.61.8
72.774.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.2
33
#2
68.42.0
65.867.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
326
#23
38.21.8
36.638.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.3
3302
#31
27.92.0
25.527.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
910
#4
19.71.8
11.613.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.8
3357
#33
21.52.0
19.921.9
Auto
Teleop
End